Republicans often alternate between nominating conservatives and moderates every contested primary. Seldom have Republicans nominated two moderates or conservatives in a row. Re-nominating a sitting President is usually done without a serious challenge and is a continuation of the previous nomination process.
Conservatives are the majority of the Republican party but have been less likely to be in party leadership positions. The moderates are also called the establishment Republicans as well as liberals. Years back they were also know as Rockefeller Republicans after the moderate (or liberal) Republican Governor of New York. Conservatives are often identified as Reagan conservatives.
Looking over the Republican nominations since 1976, when conservatives win the nomination they win the Presidency. When a moderate wins the nomination they often lose the Presidential election against the Democrat. Back in 1976, Ford was the incumbent President. He was the moderate against Reagan from the conservative side whom challenged him. Ford won the nomination and went on to lose to President Carter. Carter ran as a conservative and some may have seen Carter as the conservative in that Presidential race. In 1980, Reagan as the conservative challenged George H.W. Bush on the moderate side. Reagan won the nomination and later defeated Carter. President Reagan wasn’t challenged in 1984 and won re-election. In 1988 it was moderate George H.W. Bush nominated, however, he was seen as continuing the conservative President Reagan’s policies and won the election against the Democrat. During his Presidency and after agreeing to a Democrat tax increase, President Bush was re-nominated but now thought of as a moderate. He went on to lose to Clinton who campaigned on conservative issues of cutting taxes. The 1996 primary had the moderate Dole winning against conservatives like Buchanan, Gramm, and Forbes. It was the second moderate winning in a row and Dole went on to lose to Clinton for another defeat for a moderate Republican.
The 2000 nomination had the moderate McCain against George W. Bush whom was on the conservative side. After early wins by McCain in the NH primary, Bush won in conservative states and went on to win the nomination and the Presidency in a win for conservatives. President George W. Bush ran on conservative’s issues as tax cuts and a strong military. He won re-nomination and won re-election. His two wins came against liberal Democrats Gore and Kerry.
The moderate McCain won the nomination in 2008 against others seen as more conservative but there were few conservatives in the race. In another lose for moderate Republicans, McCain was defeated by Obama.
For the 2012 Republican primary, a number of candidates on the conservative side are or were running including Newt Gingrich, Bachmann, Perry, Santorum and Cain. The moderate side has Romney and Huntsman. The Republican primary will decide if a more conservative candidate will win the nomination or one that’s more moderate. If recent history is a guide, a conservative Republican points to a win against Obama and a moderate Republican may mean another loss.
Posted by admin as General, politics at 9:29 PM UTC
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For establishment Republicans that think Romney is the best candidate, I have a question.
You want to bet?
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 11:34 PM UTC
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No matter what conservative rises in the polls against Romney, the left goes on the offense to knock them down. The liberals want Romney because he isn’t a solid conservative and would be easier to defeat like McCain. Now that Newt Gingrich has a clear lead in polls and conservatives are uniting behind him, the liberals are in a hysterical panic of fear trying to convince Republicans Obama would win. If liberals thought Newt was easy to beat they would be keeping quiet and hoping he wins.
Poll Newt Gingrich for President?
Posted by admin as General, politics at 6:37 PM UTC
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The private sector doesn’t need government, but government needs the private sector to pay taxes.
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 10:33 PM UTC
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Obama is running around the country, yelling like a drunk at a college game demanding his new stimulus bill be passed by Congress. Obama is calling it a jobs bill but is more of the same, big spending with added taxes on those that actually would create jobs.
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 10:42 PM UTC
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The Chairman of the Federal Reserve testified in Congress about the state of the economy, deficits, the debt ceiling, government finances, Fed policy, the dollar and some other topics. He was questioned about the negotiations between Obama and Congress about the need and importance of raising the debt ceiling.
Bernanke said that it would be like spending money and not paying the bill if Congress didn’t increase the debt ceiling. The analogy Bernanke gave was wrong. The debt ceiling is the equivalent of maxing out a credit card and asking a bank that issued the credit card for a higher maximum to borrow. If someone spent money when their credit card is at it’s maximum borrowing limit as Bernanke said, the credit card would be rejected and the person could not buy the merchandise they wanted. If someone did that in a restaurant they would be in trouble and possibly have to wash dishes to cover the bill or pawn their ring or watch. Someone that tries to pay with a credit card that is at it’s maximum borrowing limit is simply not watching their spending limit. It’s too late to request an increase in the maximum limit on a credit card when in a store. There is no assurance that a bank will increase in the limit on a credit card. If someone hits the maximum the bank will be concerned that the person is in financial trouble and may not pay. For many an increase in the limit would be rejected. When a credit card is maxed out it means the person can’t use that credit card and would be wise to start paying down the debt before requesting a spending limit increase.
Congress is being asked to raise the debt ceiling to borrow more money. If the debt ceiling is not increased the Federal government would have to spend only what it takes in, meaning a balanced budget. Some say it means the nation would default on it’s debt. That is simply not true. It’s a red herring, or a lie. Revenue to the Federal government is much more than interest expense. Interest payments can be made on the US debt as well as other important priorities such as Social Security and the military. Obama falsely said he wasn’t sure there was money for Social Security payments. That is simply not true. Many times the government was shut down and the Social Security payments were paid. There is enough money to send Granny her check.
While it would be very difficult to decide what bills to pay without borrowing more money a few important expenditures can be made. There would certainly be many government programs that can’t be paid and would have to be shut down but a few major priorities can be paid. Bernanke can’t be that stupid to think that not raising the debt ceiling is like buying something and not paying for it or maybe he is. Raising the debt ceiling is spending more than the Federal government has and borrowing to more.
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 10:54 PM UTC
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You may be thinking that Trump is a closet liberal, a Democrat Donkey. Many thought the Donald was more on the liberal side on social issues and a Dem because he gave money to many Democrats including the loud mouth liberal Chuck Schumer. So far during interviews Trump has taken conservative positions on most issues including the social issues and says he is very conservative. It’s a surprise to many.
Trump is bashing Obama about the disastrous economy under his watch and his lack of leadership. Trump is talking about issues that many are afraid to mention. His vocal and straight talk, in clear language, is appealing to many as polls show Trump near the lead or in the lead among Republicans for the nomination. Trump is making noise and shaking up the process. Many of the Republicans seem timid to wimpy, so scared that what they say will offend the liberal media. (Note to Republicans, anything you say they will not like) But Trump is in the face of the Obama media, he doesn’t fear the media or what they say about him. Trump has served notice that he will hit back if someone mocks him. Republicans can learn from that.
Even if you think Trump is a Democrat Donkey, it is worth riding that donkey to shake up the Republican field in the race for the party nomination. Trump will help set a new, higher standard of speaking out clear and passionate about the issues. Republicans will be forced to show a contrast with themselves and Obama and be aggressive. If the Republican politicians can’t beat Trump for the nomination then they aren’t strong enough of a candidate to deserve the nomination. If Trump wins the nomination he deserves it for putting his hat in the ring with enthusiasm and an aggressive style to take the party’s nomination away from more standard Republican candidates. Trump will have set himself up for a solid chance to win the Presidency.
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 1:48 PM UTC
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The CR, continuing resolution, ends Friday so the Federal government may shut down, but will anyone notice? Not likely. The main concern for Obama and Socialists is that people may realize they need government much less than they are told they need it by the politicians running government.
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 9:33 PM UTC
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Democrats have blocked legislation and laws to discourage illegal immigration for decades. The new census shows an increase in population but the states that gained most are Republican leaning states. The census counts everyone including illegals. The Democrats policy to allow more illegals to enter the country may have backfired on them as Republicans will make gains because of the census count.
The Republicans will gain House seats and electoral votes as the census shows a continuing shift to the more conservative southern, sunbelt states, in comparison to liberal leaning Northeast and north Midwest states.
Republican leaning states will gain about 10 electoral votes with Texas and Florida gaining the most and Arizona, Georgia, South Carolina and Utah gaining one each. Democrats will lose electoral votes in liberal blue states like New York losing two and one in states of Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Overall it’s a net gain of about 13 electoral votes in Red, Republican leaning states. The pickup of electoral votes will make it difficult for Obama or another Dem to reach the 270 needed to win in the Presidential election of 2012.
More Congressional House seats in Republican red states will increase the Republican majority. Many states are controlled by Republicans in Governorships and state houses where they will draw up the districts to take advantage winning even more seats for Republican candidates. States are growing in rural areas or suburbs compared to cities to the benefit of Republican candidates. Over all the census count and change in House seats and districts can help Republicans pick up near 30 House seats.
The demographics of increasing numbers of illegals entering the country may have been what the Democrats wanted but the new House seats and electoral votes favoring Republicans isn’t the results the Democrats had in mind.
Posted by admin as General, politics at 8:16 PM UTC
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The Democrats are about to take a huge and historic loss in the coming November election with loses of dozens of House seats and near 10 Senate seats. In 1994 Democrats lost 53 seats in the House with many predicting bigger loses for them in 2010. The Republicans need a 39 seat pick-up to gain control of the House and send Pelosi backing it in as Speaker where she can no longer abuse taxpayers by spending tens of thousands of dollars flying expensive government planes. In 1994 the generic polls without a candidates name of Republicans vs. Democrats, Democrats held leads in many polls up until the election when Republicans had a small lead; but in 2010 Republicans held nice size leads for most of the year pointing to a big win for them.
While many Democrats will put the blame on Obama they only have themselves to blame. The Democrats knew Obama was a radical leftist when he ran for election in 2008 yet the Democrat party backed him. Democrats, liberals, and their liberal media supporters didn’t warn their voters about his radical background and radical leftwing policy agenda that now threatens the existence of the Democrat party and the defeat of many long time Democrat politicians.
The Democrats passed a big spending bill, close to a trillion dollars, for their misguided stimulus that put the nation closer to bankruptcy and borrowing much needed money that businesses needed to grow and individuals needed to buy things like homes There big spending bill didn’t help the economy.
Poll after poll showed that people opposed the Obama government healthcare takeover that anyone with a bit of common sense can tell it’s a disaster for the health of Americans and very expensive. Democrats went along with it in a radical attempt to expand government and run a large part of the economy in complete disregard for the health of the American people and no regard for the cost. Democrats could have said no to Obama but they believed their own propaganda and now will lose many elections because of it.
The Democrats have themselves to blame but they will try to put all the blame on Obama for his misguided leftist policies that they passed. While Obama will try to continue his radical agenda, expect many Democrats that are still in office to run away from Obama and try to save their political career.
Articles to read:
Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 48%, Democrats 39%
Voters Trust Republicans More on Eight of 10 Key Issues
Rasmussen Predicts GOP Gain of 55 in House
Posted by admin as Economics, General, politics at 3:05 PM UTC
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